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When I talk about stronger I mean everything that goes into

 
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wangshi



Зарегистрирован: 15.11.2017
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СообщениеДобавлено: Ср Дек 13, 2017 7:59 am    Заголовок сообщения: When I talk about stronger I mean everything that goes into Ответить с цитатой

The National Hockey League’s scheduling process strikes me as a laborious task. Lane Taylor Jersey . The people responsible for creating the thirty team schedules have to take into account things like venue availability, travel burden, associated costs of travel, and competitive balance, all while trying to squeeze 1,230 games into a seven-month window. One of the things I’ve always found most interesting is how the league attempts to mitigate the number of back-to-back situations (not so eloquently referred to as “schedule losses” in NHL and NBA circles), a considerable slice of the league’s larger fight with competitive balance. To the league’s credit, Dirk Hoag’s work suggests that the league does try to schedule a comparable number of back-to-back situations for every franchise. Now, the eyeball test has long been damning of team performance on the second-half of back-to-backs, and I think that’s largely why the league has really made a concerted effort to balance the number of schedule losses around the league. The data substantiates what the eyeball test has told us for so long – teams on no rest struggle considerably relative to league norms, considerably so when those back-to-backs come on the road. Seven years of available data substantiates what the eyeball test has told us for so long – teams on no rest struggle considerably relative to league norms. Below, I have compiled Score-Adjusted Fenwick%, 5-on-5 Goal%, and Regulation/OT Win% for teams in back-to-back situations. They are slotted next to your league-average rates, to illustrate the drop-off between the two. (Score-Adjusted Fenwick% is a measure of 5-on-5 unblocked shot attempts, weighted for score, comparing results to league averages based on game score.) The Value of Rest Score-Adjusted Fenwick% Goal% Regulation/OT Win% Back-to-Back Home 51.0% 51.0% 53.0% All Home 52.0% 52.0% 56.0% Back-to-Back Road 47.0% 46.0% 41.0% All Road 48.0% 49.0% 44.0% So, teams without rest against teams with rest of ranging length are going to underperform – we see a three percentage drop-off in regulation/overtime win percentage for both home and road teams, which really is the smoking gun. It’s also hard to miss that possession and goal metrics slide in both states, too. Home teams drop a full percentage point on both fronts. Road teams drop a percentage point in possession rates, and three percentage points in goal rates. But, back-to-back situations – or “schedule losses” -- aren’t the only instance where a team is disadvantaged. The theory isn’t just that teams devoid of rest are at a disadvantage. It’s that teams disproportionately rested to the opposition are at a disadvantage, in which back-to-back situations are only a small part of a large sample. Let’s change gears and turn to rest differentials. We can pull data for how teams perform with three days favorable rest, two days favorable rest, one day favorable rest, and so forth. If our theory holds true, performance – be it by possession rates, goal rates, or win rates – should deteriorate as rest becomes less advantageous, and travel becomes more frequent. Over the same seven years of data, here’s how home teams performed over various rest differentials. Home Team Rest Advantage 2007-2014 Rest Advantage Score-Adjusted Fenwick% Goal% Regulation/OT Win% 3 or more day deficit 50.9% 48.3% 52.3% 2-day deficit 51.1% 50.6% 54.9% 1-day deficit 51.6% 51.9% 54.2% Even 51.3% 52.0% 55.3% One-day advantage 52.1% 53.4% 58.9% Two-day advantage 52.6% 54.0% 58.3% 3 or more day advantage 51.9% 51.7% 51.6% I think this graph is about as telling as it gets. As you increase a home team’s rest advantage, their possession rates, goal rates, and win rates all spike. The inverse, of course, is true for road teams – as they see rest become more unfavourable, possession rates decline, goal rates decline, and win rates decline. Again, this gets very much back to what our eyes tell us – that teams who have rest advantages generally play a better hockey game, and teams that are fatigued generally play a worse hockey game. More importantly, it signifies that not all games are created equal. A home team with a two-game rest disadvantage is only expected to control 51.09% of the play, 50.58% of the 5-on-5 goals, and win 54.87% of the games. A home team with a two-game rest advantage should be held to significantly higher standards: on average, they should control 52.64% of play, score 54.04% of the goals, and win 58.25% of the hockey games. It seems certain to me that the league would be privy to this sort of data and reluctant to put teams into positions where they are regularly at a rest disadvantage, but it’s still an important topic that should be considered when forecasting future outcomes. Rightfully, analysts spend a lot of time talking up the importance of home-ice advantage – the data bears this advantage out. However, this data suggests that rest is another critical, albeit less appreciated, factor for teams and associated performance. Kentrell Brice Jersey . His absence against the Celtics comes a day after he scored 43 points in the Heats 100-96 win at Cleveland. Blake Martinez Jersey . Now, Sarah Burkes legacy will live on in Canadas Sports Hall of Fame. Burke, who tragically died at age 29 from a training accident in 2012, headlined the 2014 class named for induction Wednesday. http://www.officialpackersteamgears.com/customized/ . Specifically, thumbs up to the Canadian-based teams in the NHL, or at least most of them.With NFL training camps underway, the league is abuzz with position battles, injury news and rookies making an immediate impact. Each day, TSN.ca provides the latest rumours, reports and speculation from around the NFL beat. Nice To Know You The Indianapolis Colts seem to be all business this training camp. The Colts released promising running back Chris Rainey Monday less than a week into camp. According to ESPNs Adam Schefter, the 26-year-old was released for violating team rules and not for performance-based reasons. The move comes as a surprising one with running back Vick Ballard slated to miss the entire season after tearing his left Achilles tendon last week. Rainey signed with the Colts late last season and played in two games as a return man. Why Risk It? Adrian Peterson might not see any action this preseason, not due to an injury, but because theres no point using such a talented player in a meaningless game. According to NFL.coms Ian Rapoport, Vikings head coach Mike Zimmer said he has nothing to see from the 29-year-old running back in exhibition games and might just keep him on the sidelines. At the most, Peterson may get a carry or two if hes interested. The six-time Pro Bowler is entering his eighth NFL season in 2014. Not Taking Any Chances If the Houston Texans are going to improve on their dismal 2-14 record from a year ago, theyll need Arian Foster to be healthy and ready to go for Week 1. Thats why the running back will not participate in Mondays practice for the Texans after leaving Sundays workout early with a leg injury. The 27-year-old only played in eight games last year with a back injury. Head coach Bill OBrien was asked about Fosters condition after practice on Sunday. "Is Arian OK? As far as I know." Getting An Edge Micah Hyde has been one of the more delightful surprises for the Green Bay Packers this training camp. The second-year player is being converted from cornerback to safety and has the early edge over Ha Ha Clinton-Dix whom the Packers selected 21st overall in this years draft. Mason Crosby Jersey. "Seamless," head coach Mike McCarthy told the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel regarding his initial impressions of Hyde. "Micah Hyde is a football player. I think you can line him up anywhere. You really can." The Journal Sentinel also says that Hydes playmaking ability and familiarity with the defence has given him the advantage in the Packers secondary. Hyde appeared in all 16 games last season with Green Bay, starting three. Rookie Worries Kelvin Benjamin has yet to play a single game in the NFL and has already had his first MRI. The Carolina Panthers wide receiver underwent a precautionary MRI on Monday after banging knees with a teammate Sunday during practice. The MRI results indicated Benjamin has a bone bruise in his left ankle and is day to day. "We got a bit of good news," Rivera said Monday. "Its stable and everything is fine. Theres nothing structurally wrong. It is bruised. There is a swelling and what we refer to as a hot spot." The Florida State product was selected in the first round (28th overall) of this years draft and was expected to help replace the loss of veteran wide receiver Steve Smith, who left for the Baltimore Ravens. Feeling Alright After missing the entire 2013 season with a devastating ACL injury, Philadelphia Eagles wider receiver Jeremy Maclin is back and as healthy as ever. Head coach Chip Kelly says the 26-year-old looks "fantastic" in training camp and many believe hell be the No. 1 wideout on the Eagles depth chart when Week 1 rolls around. Maclin told the Daily News that this is the strongest hes been in a long while. "You can just base it off certain things that you do in the weight room, on the football field," he said. "And also mentally stronger. When I talk about stronger I mean everything that goes into it." Philadelphia is relying on Maclin to help replace DeSean Jackson, whom the Eagles released at the end of last year reportedly due to off-field problems. Cheap NFL Jerseys Wholesale Jerseys Wholesale NFL Jerseys Jerseys From China Wholesale NFL Jerseys Cheap NFL Jerseys Cheap Jerseys ' ' '
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СообщениеДобавлено: Вс Июн 10, 2018 7:52 am    Заголовок сообщения: Ответить с цитатой

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